President Donald Trump’s approval rating has sunk in every swing state he won in 2024. The new numbers show trouble in all 7 key states that once helped him return to the White House.
According to data journalist G. Elliott Morris, Trump’s popularity has dropped sharply in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, and Arizona. These are the same states that gave him narrow wins just a year ago. But this time, voters seem to be turning away from him.
In Wisconsin, Trump’s approval rating is down by 10 points. In Michigan, it has dropped by 12. Pennsylvania shows a fall of 13, while Georgia trails at 11. Nevada is at 12, North Carolina at 9, and Arizona at 7. That means Trump is underwater in all 7 states he once celebrated as proof of his comeback.
At the White House, spokesperson Abigail Jackson tried to defend the president’s record. She told Newsweek that Trump “is keeping his promises and Making America Great Again,” adding that he is “securing the border, investing in American manufacturing, taming Biden’s inflation crisis, and fighting Democrats’ radical demands.” She pointed to a Rasmussen poll claiming that 57% of Americans still approve of the job he’s doing.
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But that single poll seems to clash with most of the data. Morris’s analysis used polling averages to estimate what Trump’s approval would look like in each state if his national rating fell by about 14 points compared to his 2024 results.
He also used survey data to match national sentiment with state-level trends. The outcome is consistent across the map; fewer people are standing with Trump now.
Swing states matter more than ever. They decide who wins elections and shape the balance of power in Congress. If Trump continues to lose support in these states, Republicans could face a rough 2026 midterm season. Democrats are already watching closely, hoping these numbers mark the start of a shift back in their favor.
Political analyst Craig Agranoff told Newsweek that when a president’s approval falls below 50%, it usually hurts his party in the next election. He said the dip in Trump’s ratings could open the door for Democrats to gain ground in both the House and Senate.
He also noted that inflation, tariffs, and the impact of deportation policies might be driving the decline, especially among young and working-class voters who once backed Trump.
Economic frustration and immigration crackdowns seem to be hitting his image hardest. Some voters who liked his tough talk are now questioning his results. Others feel his promises have not turned into real change.
Featured image via Political Tribune Gallery
