Donald Trump once ruled the Republican Party with an iron grip. But now, his own supporters are starting to turn.
A new poll by Overton Insights shows Trump’s approval among Republicans has fallen hard. Back in March, he had a net approval of +73. Today, it’s down to +60. The number of Republicans who disapprove of him is rising, and fast.
What happened? The answer may lie in the skies over Iran.
On June 22, 2025, President Trump ordered airstrikes on three nuclear sites in Iran. The next day, June 23, Iran responded by firing missiles at a United States military base in Qatar. The man who promised America First and no more endless wars is pulling the country deeper into another dangerous conflict in the Middle East.
Stay up-to-date with the latest news!
Subscribe and start recieving our daily emails.
And his base is not happy about it.
Thomas Gift, director at the University College London Centre on U.S. Politics, said it plainly: “Trump’s recent actions in Iran have done little to reassure the MAGA base.” He warned that many supporters feel betrayed, because Trump’s whole campaign was about staying out of wars. Now that promise is “starting to ring hollow.”
The trend is showing up across multiple polls. A YouGov survey taken June 20–23 showed Trump’s approval among 2024 Trump voters at 83 percent. The next one, taken June 27–30, ticked up to 86 percent—but the damage was already done. His net approval is down from last month.
Outside his base, it gets worse.
A national ActiVote poll shows Trump’s overall approval at just 45 percent, with 52 percent disapproving. That’s his worst number since returning to office. Other polls show even deeper dips. Reuters had him at -16 net approval. ARG had him at –21. Those numbers are not signs of strength. They’re warning signs.
Political communication expert Peter Loge did not hold back: “Trump is pursuing policies people don’t like, while ignoring things people care about.” He said voters are struggling to pay for gas, groceries, and health care. But Trump is sending troops to Los Angeles and bombing Iran.
“President Trump likes people to pay attention to Donald Trump. Voters would rather pay attention to their families,” Loge said.
Even so, some polls say Trump is still holding strong with Republicans. CNN’s Harry Enten says Trump has a 63 percent average GOP approval—more than any other Republican president at this stage in their term, even Ronald Reagan.
“It is history-making,” Enten said.
But past achievements do not guarantee support. Enthusiasm does. And right now, Trump is testing the loyalty of his core base. Every missile fired overseas, every press conference filled with rants, and every unpopular decision adds more cracks to the foundation he once stood on.
Featured image via Political Tribune Gallery
