Shock Upset: Dark-Horse Republican Suddenly Crashes Into Top 3 For 2028 GOP Nomination

Things are heating up


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578 points

Marjorie Taylor Greene is leaving Congress. But her political ambitions are far from over.

The Georgia lawmaker has privately told allies she is thinking about running for president in 2028. Multiple sources familiar with her thinking say she is seriously considering it.

Some House Republicans say Greene could play a role like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did in 2024. She could take votes from the GOP nominee and use that influence for a future role in a Republican administration.

Greene first became famous during the 2020 election. She joined Congress in January 2021 and quickly made a name for herself. She often clashed with Republican leadership and became one of the most controversial figures in the MAGA movement.

Recently, her chances of running for president have grown. On the prediction market Polymarket, her odds have almost doubled. On November 10, she had a 2.3% chance. Now, she has 6%. That puts her ahead of Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, and Donald Trump Jr.

Polymarket is a platform where people bet on political outcomes. It doesn’t measure favorability. It measures what people think the probability of something happening is.

Vice President JD Vance is currently the favorite for the 2028 GOP nomination. He has a 55% chance. Marco Rubio is second with 8%. Greene is third with 6%. Trump is fourth with 5%. Tucker Carlson and Ron DeSantis both have 3%. Donald Trump Jr. is currently at 1%.


Greene’s rise in the market has been fast. On November 15, she had 2.7%. By November 16, she jumped to 3.9%, passing Trump.

Her growing odds are surprising. Greene has denied that she plans to run. But her political views have been changing. She has clashed with the Trump administration on several issues. These include foreign policy, the Jeffrey Epstein files, and the government shutdown.

Experts say early betting markets are not always reliable. Hans Noel, a Georgetown University professor, told Newsweek that the changes are mostly about name recognition. He said people are betting on how the market will move, not the actual outcome.

Still, Greene’s rise shows she is becoming a player to watch. Even without announcing, she is now in the top three GOP contenders for 2028 and her presence in the race could shake things up. She could influence who gets votes and how the primary unfolds.

Featured image via X screengrab


Terry Lawson

Terry is an editor and political writer based in Alabama. Over the last five years, he’s worked behind the scenes as a ghostwriter for a range of companies, helping shape voices and tell stories that connect. Now at Political Tribune, he writes sharp political pieces and edits with a close eye on clarity and tone. Terry’s work is driven by strong storytelling, attention to detail, and a clear sense of purpose. He’s skilled in writing, editing, and project management — and always focused on getting the message right. You can find him on X at https://x.com/TerryNotTrump.

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