The GOP had a clear plan for the 2026 midterm elections: Pursue redistricting in red states to help the Republicans keep the House for Trump’s last two years in office.
However, there are reasons to believe the plan isn’t working, at least at this point. In at least one state, Indiana, state Senate Republicans are resisting the urge to go along with the redistricting plan.
“President Donald Trump’s maximalist, command-and-control approach to the GOP faces one of its most significant tests yet, as a band of stubborn Indiana state Senate Republicans threatens his mid-cycle redistricting scheme when it is expected to come to a vote this week,” Politico reported this week.
The president got upset about that in a Truth Social post this week.
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“Why would a REAL Republican vote against this when the Dems have been doing it for years???,” the president’s post said. “If they stupidly say no, vote them out of Office – They are not worthy – And I will be there to help! Thank you Indiana!”
Meanwhile, Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-MD) said on a New Republic podcast this week that he has introduced a bill to switch to ranked-choice voting for Congressional races.
Meanwhile, there are other reasons to think that the Republican plan for 2026 isn’t quite shaping up.
The New York Times’ polling aggregation shows the Democrats lead in the generic ballot for 2026, in all major recent polls with the exception of RMG Research.
Who is Favored to Win the House? Latest 2026 Congressional Ballot Polls – The New York Times https://t.co/y53XmNHXEk
— Fernando Oliver, Esq. (@Fernand46357857) November 26, 2025
“Recent polling on the congressional generic ballot shows Democrats with a modest advantage. The party out of power typically gains ground in midterm elections, and these early surveys suggest this may be taking shape ahead of 2026,” the Times said. “Democrats lead in the vast majority of recent polls, though by single-digit margins. However, with redistricting efforts underway in several states, the national vote share that Democrats need to retake the House will depend on the extent of these changes.”
Photo courtesy of the Political Tribune media library.
