With the 2024 presidential election now on America’s doorstep, one key state promises to be a boon for either candidate because there are six electoral seats up in the air. Nevada is the state in question, and who better than respected John Ralston, CEO and editor of The Nevada Independent to weigh in on something that’s completely astonishing? Although many Republicans have taken an unexpected early lead in voting, he believes Vice President Kamala Harris will win the state’s electoral vote.
He reminded his reader of his past successes in choosing the winners of statewide and presidential races in Nevada, he pointed out that the “early vote is different” this year than in any prior year, Mediaite notes.
So this means, he notes that there’s an interesting twist in this story.
“Usually, the Democrats, fueled by the machine that Harry Reid built, erect a firewall in populous Clark County that is designed as a bulwark against losses in the 15 red counties, with Washoe County often deciding who wins,” he wrote. “But this cycle, with former President Donald Trump and Co. discovering it might be smart to encourage Republicans to vote early and even by mail (the horror!), the GOP vote has been frontloaded. The inverse is true and the question is whether the Democrats can overcome a 43,000-plus GOP ballot lead as I write this.”
Stay up-to-date with the latest news!
Subscribe and start recieving our daily emails.
Of course, we know how much Trump loves those mail-in votes.
Despite all this, Ralston has concluded that Harris would win a “coin flip” in her contest against Trump. He says this is because of undecided voters’ decision to coalesce behind Harris and the Democrats’ exceptional political operation:
“The key to this election has always been which way the non-major-party voters break because they have become the plurality in the state. They are going to make up 30 percent or so of the electorate and if they swing enough towards Harris, she will win Nevada,” he said. “I think they will, and I’ll tell you why: Many people assume that with the GOP catching up to the Democrats in voter registration that the automatic voter registration plan pushed by Democrats that auto-registers people as nonpartisans (unless they choose a party) at the DMV had been a failure for the party. But I don’t think so. There are a lot of nonpartisans who are closet Democrats who were purposely registered by Democrat-aligned groups as nonpartisans. The machine knows who they are and will get them to vote. It will be just enough to overcome the Republican lead – along with women motivated by abortion and crossover votes that issue also will cause.”
Ultimately, Ralston predicts that Harris will defeat Trump by just .3 percent, or in other words, 48.5%-48.2%.
It may not be great, but it’s something to look forward to. Considering what an awful human being Donald Trump is I’m surprised he’s doing this well. It’s a sad commentary on far too many Americans who are obviously ignorant or brainwashed.
Perhaps they’ll learn something if Harris should win.
But I doubt it.
Featured image via Political Tribune Gallery
