Every state in the country has gotten less enthusiastic about Donald Trump since he took office sixteen months ago. That is the birthday present a new Civiqs map delivers as Trump turns 80 today.
The national picture sits at 36% approval and 59% disapproval, producing a net of -23, but the breakdown by demographic group sharpens the edges of that result.
Voters under 35 disapprove by 72 to 21, independents by 64 to 28, women by 65 to 30, and postgraduates by 71 to 25. None of these margins comes close to competitive territory, and taken together, they form the kind of pattern that tends to show up later in election results rather than early polling debates.
The states that remain in Trump’s column are still red on the map, although the intensity of that red has faded noticeably since inauguration day. Wyoming, still his strongest state, now sits at +25 after starting at +47. North Dakota follows at +15, South Dakota at +14, and West Virginia at +13. The more telling detail is not where they sit now, but where they began, with several of these states having effectively lost around half their initial support while staying on the positive side of the ledger.
Kentucky stands out as the only state to cross fully into negative territory, moving from +23 at the start of the term to -4 today, a 27-point swing that leads the national decline. Montana follows closely behind, dropping from +25 to +1, while Idaho slides from +34 to +11.
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The pattern is consistent, with the biggest losses coming not from skeptical states, but from those that once supported him most strongly.
The swing states reflect a similar shift, and in several cases, the change is large enough to reshape the electoral map. Florida moves from +9 to -13, Ohio from +8 to -14, Nevada from neutral to -20, and Pennsylvania from -3 to -17. Michigan now sits at -21, Georgia at -20, and Wisconsin at -16, while Texas falls from a double-digit advantage in the previous cycle to -15.
Deep blue states, however, have changed less, largely because there was less room for movement to begin with. Hawaii sits at -61, Vermont at -56, and Maryland at -51, with only small additional declines since the start of the term, reinforcing the stability of long-standing partisan divides even as other regions shift more sharply.
What stands out most in the updated map is the expanding middle, where states cluster around zero rather than leaning firmly in either direction. Indiana sits at +1, Montana at +1, Kansas at +2, and Mississippi at 0, while Louisiana, Nebraska, Missouri, and Kentucky all hover between -3 and -4. From a distance the map still resembles familiar political geography, but closer inspection shows a growing number of states that could tilt either way with relatively small changes in public mood.
Featured image via Political Tribune Gallery
